Superintelligence in the True Sense of the Word

Published on January 1, 2025 at 4:13 PM

They used to say that by the time Time or Newsweek had something on the their front cover that thing had already passed its peak. Perhaps London was swinging less after that famous 1966 Time cover than it had been a few months earlier as things shifted to San Francisco. But then somethings are never going to pass their peak.

It's significant that Nvidia has almost exceeded Apple as the most valuable company on the planet and might well do this week. That's significant in that a company that began designing graphics accelerators in 1993 for video gaming is now an AI company and almost the most valuable company in the world. According to the AAB:

During the late 1990s, Nvidia was one of 70 startup companies chasing the idea that graphics acceleration for video games was the path to the future. Only two survived: Nvidia and ATI Technologies, the latter of which merged into AMD.

Which makes it the all more extraordinary. Obviously, it's more complicated than just blind luck, but clearly there's a great deal of luck. Of course, you make your own luck. Still, it could have been any of these companies

 

Defunct graphics chip makers

 

These companies designed graphics chips and cards.

Defunct graphics card makers

Other

The following companies are still in operation, but no longer design PC graphics chips:

  • ALi Corporation – focusing on design and manufacturing of integrated circuits for the personal computer and embedded systems
  • Cirrus Logic – sold its video chip assets
  • Integrated Information Technology – reverted to a video-conferencing solutions company, and then later a VoiP service provider
  • PowerVR – focusing on mobile graphics technologies
  • Realtek – no longer makes graphics chips
  • Silicon Integrated Systems (SIS) – sold its video chip assets to XGI
  • Texas Instruments – withdrew from the computer market
  • UMC – became a custom-only fab and discontinued all of its standard products in the late 1990s
  • XGI – focusing on embedded and mobile applications

 CNBC talk these days of AI and, indeed, AGI, these days. They might be the present equivalent of Time, but they are reacting to what the markets value. SAm Altman emitted a blog on 5 January in which he stated

We are beginning to turn our aim beyond that, to superintelligence in the true sense of the word.

So, for the first time, I suspect, the word superintelligence and the expression ASI was spoken on CNBC. It won't be the last.

But how to get on the bandwagon. In a recent GeekWire article on investor prediction for 2025, Heather Redman, managing partner at Flying Fish Ventures, opined that the tech skill that will be most in demand for hiring in 2025 will be PhD-level AI skills. I already have a PhD and know something of AI, so that is a start. But how do I acquire PhD-level AI skills over the next few months?

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